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Market
China retaliatory actions against the UK by August 31?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Expulsions • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
No Retaliatory Actions • 25%
Official Chinese government announcements or verified news reports
Story
China Accuses MI6 of Recruiting Two Government Staff as Spies
Jun 2, 2024, 11:55 PM
China's Ministry of State Security has accused the British Secret Intelligence Service (MI6) of recruiting two staff members from a central state agency to spy for the British government. The ministry disclosed this major espionage case on Monday morning in a ministry statement, alleging that MI6 had turned the couple into spies. This incident, unveiled by MSS in January, is part of a broader pattern of MI6's espionage activities against China.
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Condemnation of actions by one or both parties • 33%
Call for dialogue or mediation • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Improved relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 34%
Worsened relations • 33%
Strengthening intelligence sharing with allies • 25%
Increasing diplomatic sanctions against China • 25%
Negotiating directly with China to de-escalate • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Tariffs • 33%
Trade restrictions • 33%
No action taken • 34%