Loading...
Market
UK's next diplomatic action in response to espionage case within 12 months
5
UK•National Security Act•Hong Kong•Chi Leung•London•Matthew Trickett•Royal Marine•Chung Biu Yuen•Counter Terrorism Command•North East•Finn Lau•Christopher Mung•Nathan Law•China•John Lee•British•Foreign Office•Chinese•Zheng Zeguang
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthening intelligence sharing with allies • 25%
Increasing diplomatic sanctions against China • 25%
Negotiating directly with China to de-escalate • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Official statements from the UK Foreign Office
Story
Three Charged in UK Under National Security Act for Spying for Hong Kong
May 14, 2024, 03:11 AM
Three individuals have been charged in the UK with offenses under the National Security Act, accused of spying for Hong Kong. The suspects include Chi Leung (Peter) Wai, a manager at the Hong Kong Economic & Trade Office in London, Matthew Trickett, a former Royal Marine, and Chung Biu Yuen, an office manager previously a cop in Hong Kong. The charges involve assisting Hong Kong's intelligence service and foreign interference. The investigation was led by officers from the Met’s Counter Terrorism Command, supported by colleagues from North East and South East Counter Terrorism Policing Units. The suspects allegedly spied on activists Finn Lau, Christopher Mung, and Nathan Law. The arrests have led to strained relations between the UK and China, with Hong Kong's leader John Lee demanding full information from British authorities. China has condemned the arrests, accusing the UK of fabricating charges and escalating tensions. The UK's Foreign Office has summoned the Chinese ambassador, Zheng Zeguang, to address the allegations of foreign interference.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation of actions by one or both parties • 33%
Call for dialogue or mediation • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military maneuver • 33%
Increased legislation • 33%
Increased enforcement actions • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Significant escalation • 25%
Minor escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Deterioration of diplomatic relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Strengthening of diplomatic relations • 25%
New agreements signed • 25%
Support UK • 33%
Support China • 33%
Remain neutral • 33%
Denial • 33%
Admission • 33%
No Response • 33%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Expulsions • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
No Retaliatory Actions • 25%