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China conducts major military exercise near Taiwan by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from China's Ministry of Defense or credible news reports
Story
Biden Approves $571 Million Military Aid Package for Taiwan, Including $265 Million in Equipment Sales, Ahead of January 2025 Trump Inauguration
Dec 21, 2024, 06:03 AM
On December 20, 2024, U.S. President Joe Biden approved a military aid package valued at $571.3 million for Taiwan, as confirmed by the White House. This decision comes as Biden prepares to leave office ahead of the inauguration of Donald Trump in January 2025. The aid is part of ongoing U.S. support for Taiwan amid rising tensions with China. In addition to the military assistance, the U.S. State Department has also approved potential sales of military equipment to Taiwan, estimated at $265 million. The aid package is intended to bolster Taiwan's defense capabilities in the face of increasing pressure from China.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military engagement • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
Other • 25%
