Loading...
Market
Chagossians begin returning to Diego Garcia by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from the governments involved
Story
US, UK, and Mauritius Finalize 99-Year Diego Garcia Lease; Biden Supports, Chagossians to Return
Dec 7, 2024, 01:31 PM
The United States and the United Kingdom have reached an agreement with Mauritius to extend the lease of the Diego Garcia military base for 99 years. Diego Garcia, a strategically significant island in the Indian Ocean, serves as a critical base for U.S. military operations. The deal, supported by U.S. President Joe Biden, reportedly allows the native Chagossians, who were previously displaced, to return to their homeland, while ensuring that the U.S. military retains exclusive access to the base. The agreement also aligns with a UK-Mauritius sovereignty deal, underscoring the importance of Diego Garcia for U.S. naval and geopolitical strategy, amid ongoing debates about its sovereignty and the role of the U.S. in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
UK cedes islands • 25%
Deal blocked by US • 25%
Deal delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains under UK-US control • 25%
Transferred to Mauritian control • 25%
Shared control between Mauritius and UK-US • 25%
Other • 25%
Base operations continue without change • 25%
Operational changes announced • 25%
Base closure announced • 25%
Pending further negotiations • 25%
Under Mauritius control • 25%
Under UK control • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Disputed governance • 25%
UK retains control • 25%
Mauritius gains control • 25%
Shared governance • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
