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Market
Ceasefire agreement between SNA and PKK/YPG in Manbij by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from involved parties or credible news reports
Story
SNA Captures 80% of Manbij in Aleppo's Operation Dawn of Freedom
Dec 8, 2024, 10:30 AM
The Syrian National Army (SNA) has launched Operation Dawn of Freedom, a significant military campaign aimed at expelling the PKK/YPG from Manbij, a city in Aleppo Governorate. Security sources report that the SNA has now taken control of approximately 80% of Manbij, including the village of El-Hamar. The operation was initiated with the goal of liberating the area from what the SNA describes as PKK/YPG rule, and civilians have been advised to avoid military zones. The offensive is part of a broader effort by the SNA to secure the region.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire breaks with minor clashes • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major clashes • 25%
New ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
