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Will Ukraine's offensive result in significant Russian military casualties by August 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Ukrainian or Russian governments
Story
Ukraine Launches Largest Ground Offensive into Russia in Over Two Years
Aug 7, 2024, 12:16 PM
Early this morning, Ukraine launched a significant ground offensive into Russian territory from the Sumy Oblast, utilizing troops and armored vehicles. This surprise attack is reported by Moscow and independent military analysts as potentially the largest Ukrainian incursion onto Russian soil in over two years of conflict. The offensive marks a major escalation since Russia's full-scale invasion began in February 2022.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukrainian forces withdraw completely • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain current positions • 25%
Ukrainian forces advance further • 25%
Ukrainian forces are repelled further into Ukraine • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
101 or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant Russian advances • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Ukrainian advances • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%