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Will Trump take military action against Hamas by April 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or international news agencies
Story
On New Year's Eve at Mar-a-Lago, Trump Warns Hamas to Release Hostages Soon
Jan 1, 2025, 02:31 AM
President-elect Donald Trump issued a stern ultimatum to Hamas on New Year's Eve, declaring, "They better let the hostages come back soon." Speaking at his Mar-a-Lago resort during an interview with journalist Alayna Treene, Trump emphasized the urgency of releasing the hostages held by the militant group. He had previously warned that "there will be hell to pay" if a ceasefire deal isn't reached by the time he takes office. The statements underscore Trump's hardline stance on the issue as he prepares to assume office in 2025.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military action initiated • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Hostages harmed or killed • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
