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Will Trump end prosecutions related to classified documents by December 31, 2025?
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Democrats•Judiciary Committee•Merrick Garland•Jack Smith•Donald Trump•Jamie Raskin•Garland•Trump•Walt Nauta•Carlos De Oliveira•Nauta•De Oliveira
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Trump administration or Department of Justice
Story
House Democrats Urge Garland to Release Trump Classified Documents Report, Suggest Dismissing Charges Against Nauta and De Oliveira
Jan 16, 2025, 12:00 PM
House Democrats on the Judiciary Committee have urged Attorney General Merrick Garland to release the second volume of special counsel Jack Smith's report on President-elect Donald Trump's handling of classified documents. The Democrats, led by Ranking Member Jamie Raskin, have suggested that Garland should consider dismissing the remaining charges against Trump's former co-defendants, Walt Nauta and Carlos De Oliveira, to facilitate the release of the report. The report's second volume is currently withheld due to ongoing legal proceedings against Nauta and De Oliveira, who were charged with obstructing the investigation into Trump's retention of classified materials at his Mar-a-Lago estate. Garland has previously stated that he would not release the second volume while these charges are pending. The Democrats argue that the public interest in transparency and accountability outweighs the concerns about dismissing the charges, especially given indications that Trump may end the prosecutions upon taking office.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Dismissal • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Some acquitted, some convicted • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Claim executive privilege • 25%
Challenge legality of search • 25%
Other • 25%
Negotiate plea deal • 25%
No prosecutions • 25%
Prosecutions dropped • 25%
Prosecutions with convictions • 25%
Prosecutions initiated • 25%