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Will Trump be declared ineligible for presidency under the 14th Amendment by Jan 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court rulings and government announcements
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The Hill Argues Congress Can Use 14th Amendment's Section 3 to Block Trump, Raskin Cited
Dec 26, 2024, 02:25 PM
An opinion piece published by The Hill suggests that Congress has the authority to prevent Donald Trump from assuming the presidency under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, which states that an oath-breaking insurrectionist is ineligible to hold office. The article argues that lawmakers must act swiftly to block Trump from taking office. This proposal has sparked controversy, with some commentators labeling it as an attempt to subvert the election results. Representative Jamie Raskin has previously mentioned using the 14th Amendment to disqualify Trump, indicating a potential strategy for Democrats to challenge Trump's eligibility on January 6, 2025.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Blocked from office • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
Trump not blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Trump blocked • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
Majority disagree applicable • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Majority agree applicable • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
Majority oppose blocking • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority support blocking • 25%
Trump disqualified • 25%
Attempt fails • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Majority disagree with blocking • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
Majority agree with blocking • 25%
