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Will a legal challenge be filed to disqualify Trump under the 14th Amendment by Jan 6, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings and legal news reports
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The Hill Argues Congress Can Use 14th Amendment's Section 3 to Block Trump, Raskin Cited
Dec 26, 2024, 02:25 PM
An opinion piece published by The Hill suggests that Congress has the authority to prevent Donald Trump from assuming the presidency under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, which states that an oath-breaking insurrectionist is ineligible to hold office. The article argues that lawmakers must act swiftly to block Trump from taking office. This proposal has sparked controversy, with some commentators labeling it as an attempt to subvert the election results. Representative Jamie Raskin has previously mentioned using the 14th Amendment to disqualify Trump, indicating a potential strategy for Democrats to challenge Trump's eligibility on January 6, 2025.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Blocked from office • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority agree applicable • 25%
Majority disagree applicable • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Trump disqualified • 25%
Attempt fails • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
