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Will there be significant violence during Yoon's arrest attempt by January 6, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets detailing clashes or violence
Story
Impeached South Korean President Yoon Resists Arrest Over Martial Law Charges as Investigators Arrive
Jan 2, 2025, 01:17 PM
South Korean investigators have arrived at impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol's residence to execute an arrest warrant on charges of insurrection and abuse of power related to his declaration of martial law on December 3. Yoon, who has been suspended from power, has vowed to 'fight until the end' against authorities he describes as 'anti-state forces'. Supporters have gathered outside his Seoul residence, clashing with police in an attempt to block investigators from detaining him. Investigators have stated they will execute the arrest warrant by the January 6 deadline. This marks the first time in South Korea's modern history that a sitting president faces arrest.
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Arrest delayed • 25%
Arrest blocked by security • 25%
Successful arrest • 25%
Arrest attempt called off • 25%
Majority support Yoon • 25%
Majority oppose Yoon • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
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Major protests in support • 25%
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No • 50%
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Other outcome • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Convicted of insurrection • 25%