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Will there be significant protests in Romania if Georgescu wins the presidency by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or local Romanian media
Story
Pro-Russia Candidate Georgescu Leads Romanian Election with 22%; Ciolacu Trailing as Runoff Looms
Nov 25, 2024, 02:34 AM
On November 24, 2024, Romania held the first round of its presidential election, resulting in a surprising lead by far-right, pro-Russian candidate Calin Georgescu, who secured over 22% of the votes. Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, the pro-European incumbent expected to win, is trailing with around 20%. With over 98% of votes counted, Georgescu and Ciolacu are likely to face each other in a runoff election scheduled for December 8. Georgescu's unexpected surge, described as a political earthquake, signifies a potential shift in Romania's political landscape. His campaign focused on ending Romania's "subservience" to the EU and NATO, and he has criticized military aid to Ukraine.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Călin Georgescu wins • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
Election annulled again • 25%
Election indefinitely postponed • 25%
Calin Georgescu wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
No election held • 25%
Election results annulled again • 25%
New election held • 25%
Original results upheld • 25%
Georgescu disqualified • 25%
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PSD candidate • 25%
AUR candidate • 25%
Other party candidate • 25%
Independent candidate • 25%
Government concessions • 25%
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