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Will there be international mediation or intervention in the India-Canada diplomatic dispute by December 31, 2024?
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India•Canada•Sanjay Kumar Verma•Sikh•Hardeep Singh Nijjar•Justin Trudeau•Commissioner•Stewart Wheeler•MEA•Indian•Wheeler
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mediation by third country • 25%
Intervention by international organization • 25%
No mediation or intervention • 25%
Other resolution method • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news sources
Story
India Rejects Canada's Allegations, Withdraws Diplomats Over Nijjar Case
Oct 14, 2024, 01:27 PM
India has strongly rejected allegations by Canada that its High Commissioner Sanjay Kumar Verma and other diplomats are 'persons of interest' in an investigation related to the murder of Sikh activist Hardeep Singh Nijjar. The Indian Ministry of External Affairs described the claims as 'preposterous imputations' and politically motivated, accusing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government of engaging in vote bank politics. In response, India has decided to withdraw its High Commissioner and other targeted diplomats from Canada, citing concerns for their safety amid an atmosphere of extremism and violence. The Canadian Charge d'Affaires, Stewart Wheeler, was summoned by the MEA, and informed that the targeting of Indian diplomats was unacceptable. Wheeler stated that Canada has provided credible, irrefutable evidence linking Indian government agents to the murder, a claim India disputes.
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Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation to international arbitration • 25%
Ongoing tension without resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Full restoration of diplomatic relations • 25%
Partial restoration with conditions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
UN or similar body issues a statement • 25%
No action taken by international bodies • 25%
Mediation by a third country • 25%
International sanctions considered • 25%
