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Market
Will there be international intervention in the Israel-Hamas conflict by September 2024?
5
Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Israel Security Agency•Naeem Ghoul•Hamas•Shati Battalion•Ghoul•Israel•Noa Marciano•Marciano•Shifa Hospital•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Major international news outlets (e.g., BBC, CNN)
Story
IDF and Shin Bet Eliminate Senior Hamas Operative in Gaza on Friday
May 12, 2024, 03:19 PM
On Friday, a coordinated operation by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) resulted in the elimination of Naeem Ghoul, a senior Hamas operative in the Shati Battalion. Ghoul was directly involved in rocket attacks against Israel and played a critical role in the captivity of IDF Corporal Noa Marciano, who was abducted on October 7th. Marciano was tragically murdered by terrorists at the Shifa Hospital in Gaza. The operation marks a significant action against Hamas' military capabilities in the region.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No intervention • 33%
Humanitarian intervention • 33%
Military intervention • 33%
None • 33%
UN intervention • 33%
Individual country intervention • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN intervention • 33%
US intervention • 33%
No international intervention • 33%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Egypt • 25%
