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What type of international intervention will occur in the Israel-Hamas conflict by the end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
No intervention • 33%
Humanitarian intervention • 33%
Military intervention • 33%
News reports and official statements from international bodies like the United Nations or NATO
Story
Hamas Attacks Kerem Shalom: 2 Killed, 10 Injured; IDF Strikes Back
May 5, 2024, 11:35 AM
A series of violent incidents occurred at the Kerem Shalom crossing and surrounding areas, involving multiple rocket and mortar attacks from Gaza, which resulted in casualties including 2 Israeli soldiers killed and 10 seriously injured. The Palestinian militant group Hamas claimed responsibility for the attacks, which targeted Israeli military sites and the main humanitarian crossing into Gaza. In response, the Israeli Air Force conducted strikes in the Rafah area. The situation led to the closure of the Kerem Shalom Crossing, disrupting the passage of humanitarian aid, and involved 5 IOF helicopters in evacuating the wounded.
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Similar markets
None • 33%
UN intervention • 33%
Individual country intervention • 33%
UN intervention • 33%
US intervention • 33%
No international intervention • 33%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New international peace initiative launched • 33%
Sanctions imposed on Hamas • 33%
No significant international action • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
