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Will there be another reported attempt to hijack a Russian military aircraft by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) or other credible news agencies
Story
Russia's FSB Thwarts Ukrainian Attempt to Hijack Strategic Nuclear Bomber for $2 Million
Jul 8, 2024, 05:40 AM
The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has announced that it thwarted an attempt by Ukrainian intelligence to hijack a Tu-22M3 strategic nuclear bomber. According to the FSB, Ukrainian special services attempted to recruit the Russian pilot, offering him $2 million or $3 million and Italian citizenship in exchange for defecting with the aircraft. The FSB claims that the operation was successfully prevented, and the pilot did not defect.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased defensive measures • 25%
Increased offensive actions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military strikes on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%