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Will there be a military escalation in Crimea following the missile strike?
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Russian Ministry of Defense•United States•Sevastopol•Crimea•Russian Defense Ministry•American ATACMS•Ministry•Washington•Kyiv•Crimean
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant escalation • 33%
Minor escalation • 33%
No escalation • 34%
News reports from major international news organizations
Story
Russia Accuses U.S. of Responsibility in Deadly Crimea Missile Strike: Five Dead, 120 Wounded
Jun 23, 2024, 03:48 PM
The Russian Ministry of Defense has accused the United States of being responsible for a missile attack on civilians in Sevastopol, Crimea. The attack, which used U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles, resulted in the deaths of at least five people, including two children, and left 120 wounded. The Russian Defense Ministry stated that all flight missions for the American ATACMS missiles are entered by U.S. specialists. The Ministry also claimed that Washington and Kyiv bore responsibility for what it described as a deliberate missile strike on peaceful residents at a Crimean beach.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased airstrikes • 25%
Ground offensives • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike on Ukrainian targets • 25%
Increased ground operations in Ukraine • 25%
Cyber attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
No immediate military response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
