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Market
Will there be a legal challenge to the U.S. Commerce Department's ban on Kaspersky by December 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court records or official announcements
Story
U.S. Bans Transactions with Kaspersky, Firm to Close U.S. Division by July 20
Jul 15, 2024, 05:50 PM
The U.S. Commerce Department has banned transactions with Russian cybersecurity firm Kaspersky under ICTS authority. Following this decision last month, Kaspersky announced that business opportunities in the U.S. are no longer viable. Consequently, Kaspersky Lab is closing its U.S. division and laying off all associated workers. The ban on the sale of Kaspersky software in the U.S. will take effect starting July 20.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Both fines and operational restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cease all U.S. operations • 25%
File a lawsuit • 25%
Seek a settlement • 25%
Relocate U.S. operations to another country • 25%
No response • 33%
Public statements supporting the ban • 33%
Public statements opposing the ban • 33%
No actions taken • 33%
Actions against one additional firm • 33%
Actions against multiple additional firms • 33%