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VisitWill there be a change in Russian military leadership by the end of 2025?
New military commander appointed • 25%
Existing leadership remains • 25%
Leadership restructuring • 25%
Leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian government or credible media reports
Russia Recruits 180,000 Convicts for War Against Ukraine, Advancing 4,000 Square Kilometers Since November 2024
Jan 3, 2025, 07:38 AM
Ukrainian intelligence reports indicate that Russia has recruited up to 180,000 prisoners to fight in the ongoing conflict against Ukraine. This information was confirmed by the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, which noted that this recruitment effort has been ongoing since at least November 2024. The recruitment of convicts is part of Russia's broader military strategy, which has seen significant territorial advances in Ukraine, with an analysis revealing that Russia advanced by nearly 4,000 square kilometers in 2024, a sevenfold increase compared to the previous year.
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Yes, complete overhaul • 25%
Yes, partial changes • 25%
Other response • 25%
No changes • 25%
New Commander Appointed • 25%
Other • 25%
Operation Ceased • 25%
Current Commander Remains • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Change in strategic focus • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
No leadership change • 25%
Putin remains in power • 25%
Putin steps down • 25%
Putin is replaced • 25%
New Defense Minister appointed • 25%
Another senior military official removed • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Policy shift towards de-escalation • 25%
Leadership change within Russian government • 25%
Policy shift towards increased militarization • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No appointment by this date • 25%
Another known candidate • 25%
Alexander Chayko • 25%
A currently unknown candidate • 25%
Decrease • 50%
Increase • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%