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Will there be a change in North Korea's military strategy in Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase deployment • 25%
Decrease deployment • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Official military statements from North Korea or credible news reports
Story
Over 3,000 North Korean Soldiers Killed or Wounded in Ukraine, Some Choosing Suicide Over Capture
Dec 30, 2024, 09:50 AM
North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia's Kursk region to fight alongside Russian forces in Ukraine are experiencing significant casualties, with over 3,000 reported killed or wounded. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has stated that these soldiers, numbering around 12,000, are being sent into battle with minimal protection, resulting in high losses. The White House has confirmed that in the last week alone, approximately 1,000 North Korean troops were killed or injured in Kursk during human wave attacks. Reports also indicate that some North Korean soldiers are choosing suicide over capture by Ukrainian forces, driven by fears of reprisals against their families back home. This situation underscores the severe conditions and the human cost of the ongoing conflict.
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Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Shared leadership structure • 25%
New military commander appointed • 25%
Leadership unknown • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Joint Russian-North Korean military strategy • 25%
Change in North Korean leadership • 25%
Change in Russian military strategy • 25%
No changes reported • 25%