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Will the Volgograd hostage situation be resolved by August 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian authorities, credible news sources
Story
ISIS-Linked Hostage Crisis in Volgograd Prison: Guards Killed, $2 Million Demanded
Aug 23, 2024, 10:43 AM
A hostage situation has erupted at the IK-19 penal colony in Surovikino, Volgograd Oblast, Russia. Prisoners, reportedly linked to ISIS, have taken control of the facility, resulting in the deaths of at least three prison guards and leaving several others wounded. The incident began during a disciplinary meeting, where the inmates seized several Federal Penitentiary Service officers as hostages. The prisoners are demanding $2 million and a helicopter. The head of the colony managed to escape and is in intensive care. Russian special forces have been deployed to the scene to manage the situation. FSB involvement has been noted, and graphic footage of the incident is available online.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All hostages released • 33%
Partial release • 33%
No release • 34%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostages rescued by force • 25%
Negotiation succeeds • 25%
Special forces storm the facility • 25%
Ransom is paid • 25%
Hostage takers escape • 25%
Hostages released unharmed • 25%
Hostages released with casualties • 25%
Hostage takers surrender • 25%
Hostage takers killed • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release • 25%
No release • 25%
Other resolution • 25%