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Will the U.S. resume the NGAD program by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or credible news sources
Story
China Tests J-XD Sixth-Generation Stealth Fighter With Three Engines, Challenges U.S. Air Superiority Amid NGAD Pause
Dec 26, 2024, 03:38 PM
China has reportedly conducted a test flight of a new sixth-generation stealth fighter, referred to as the 'J-XD', which has raised concerns among U.S. military and political figures. The aircraft is noted for its significant internal volume and three-engine design, suggesting advanced capabilities. Representative August Pfluger, a former Air Force pilot, expressed concern over the development, warning that the U.S. could lose its tactical advantage if the Biden Administration does not reverse its decision to pause the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program. The J-20S twin seater was used as a chase plane during the test. The test flight is seen as a potential challenge to U.S. air superiority, prompting discussions on the future of military aviation and the need for the U.S. to maintain its edge in this domain.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Proceed with manned fighter • 25%
Cancel the program • 25%
Proceed with unmanned fighter • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Funding increase • 25%
Program cancellation • 25%
Funding remains the same • 25%
Funding decrease • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
Boeing • 25%
Other • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Other • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
Boeing • 25%
Hybrid Systems • 25%
Manned Fighters • 25%
Unmanned Drones • 25%
Other • 25%
