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Market
Will the Trump administration cancel the NGAD program by the end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the U.S. Air Force or Department of Defense
Story
Air Force Defers Next Generation Air Dominance Fighter Decision to Incoming Trump Administration
Dec 6, 2024, 12:27 PM
The U.S. Air Force has announced that it will defer its decision on the next-generation fighter jet, known as the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program, to the incoming Trump administration. This decision has significant implications for the defense aerospace industry and the future of manned fighter jets. While the Air Force will continue to develop the technology associated with the sixth-generation fighter, it has opted to pause any final decisions until the new administration is in place. This move follows a comprehensive review of the NGAD program by Air Force officials, who had previously put the effort on hold earlier this year. The Pentagon has confirmed that the fate of the NGAD will ultimately rest with the Trump administration.
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Proceed with manned fighter • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Cancel the program • 25%
Proceed with unmanned fighter • 25%
Program cancellation • 25%
Funding increase • 25%
Funding decrease • 25%
Funding remains the same • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Other • 25%
Boeing • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
China's fighter jet advancements • 25%
Other • 25%
Cost concerns • 25%
Lockheed's DEI focus • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
