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Market
Will the US government officially acknowledge Trump's administration's role in the Gaza ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official US government statements or press releases
Story
Biden and Trump Claim Credit for Gaza Ceasefire Ending 15-Month Conflict, Hostages to be Released Sunday
Jan 15, 2025, 10:02 PM
President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump are both claiming credit for a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The agreement, which follows months of negotiations, includes the release of hostages and aims to end a 15-month conflict that has resulted in over 46,700 Palestinian deaths. Biden emphasized that the deal aligns with a plan he proposed in May 2024, attributing its success to American diplomacy and regional changes. Trump, on the other hand, linked the deal to his election victory, suggesting it signaled his administration's commitment to peace. The involvement of Trump's Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, alongside Biden's negotiators, was crucial in finalizing the agreement, which is set to begin implementation on Sunday.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Major role • 25%
Minor role • 25%
No role • 25%
Role unclear • 25%
Biden's Administration • 33%
No agreement by February 28, 2025 • 34%
Trump's Administration • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mediator • 25%
Observer • 25%
Direct negotiator • 25%
No role • 25%