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Will the U.S. Department of Education release new guidelines on gender identity inclusion by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Education
Story
C.D.C. Survey Finds 3.3% of U.S. High School Students Identify as Transgender in 2023
Oct 8, 2024, 11:50 PM
A first-of-its-kind survey by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (C.D.C.) has found that 3.3% of U.S. high school students identified as transgender in 2023, with another 2.2% questioning their gender identity. The survey also highlighted high rates of sadness, bullying, and suicide attempts among transgender and gender-questioning teenagers. This data contrasts sharply with historical estimates, such as those in the DSM-IV, which placed the prevalence of transsexualism at 1 out of every 30,000 males and 100,000 females.
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No Guidelines Issued • 33%
Guidelines for Public Universities Only • 33%
Guidelines for All Universities • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Expanded protections • 25%
Reduced protections • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden Administration • 25%
Any of the 10 Republican-led states • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Biden administration introduces new federal policies • 25%
Congress passes new legislation • 25%
Supreme Court revisits the decision • 25%
No significant actions • 25%