Loading...
Market
Which government entity will take next significant legal action regarding Title IX LGBTQ protections by Dec 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden Administration • 25%
Any of the 10 Republican-led states • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or legal filings
Story
Supreme Court Blocks Biden's Entire Title IX LGBTQ Protections in 5-4 Decision; Gorsuch Dissenting
Aug 16, 2024, 10:00 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court, in a narrow 5-4 decision, has blocked the Biden administration's efforts to enforce its entire Title IX rules aimed at expanding protections for LGBTQ students. The ruling prevents the administration from implementing policies that would protect students from discrimination based on gender identity in schools and colleges across 10 Republican-led states. Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, Jackson, and Gorsuch dissented from the majority opinion, with Sotomayor specifically noted as dissenting. The court's decision leaves the new Title IX guidance blocked pending further litigation, as lower court injunctions remain in place.
View original story
Similar markets
Protections Increased • 33%
Protections Decreased • 33%
No Change • 33%
Expanded protections • 25%
Reduced protections • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
State-level protections introduced • 25%
State-level protections passed • 25%
State-level protections rejected • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Biden administration introduces new federal policies • 25%
Congress passes new legislation • 25%
Supreme Court revisits the decision • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Passed by Congress • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Protections upheld • 25%
Protections struck down • 25%
Protections modified • 25%
Case unresolved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal authority • 25%
State rights • 25%
Constitutional protections • 25%
Other legal grounds • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Rules Upheld • 33%
Rules Overturned • 33%
Partial Revision • 33%