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Will the UN pass a resolution to place Crimea under a UN mandate by the end of 2024?
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Ukraine•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•Crimea•Polish•Radoslaw Sikorski•UN•Ukrainian MFA•Sevastopol•European security•Kremlin•Dmitry Peskov•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official UN documentation and major international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Reaffirms Crimea and Sevastopol's Status, No Compromises Amid UN Mandate Suggestion
Sep 20, 2024, 07:12 AM
Ukraine's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has reiterated that Crimea is an integral part of Ukraine and its territorial integrity is non-negotiable. This statement comes in response to a controversial suggestion by Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski that the peninsula could be transferred to a UN mandate. The Ukrainian MFA emphasized that the full de-occupation of Ukraine, including Crimea and Sevastopol, is crucial for European security and expects continued support from its partners. The Kremlin dismissed the idea of transferring Crimea under a UN mandate as absurd, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov asserting that Russian regions cannot be the subject of such discussions.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resolution passes with majority in favor • 25%
Resolution fails to pass • 25%
Resolution is deferred or not put to vote • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Recognized as part of Russia by any major country • 25%
Continued non-recognition and condemnation • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts for resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia withdraws completely • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%