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What action will the UK take regarding HTS's terrorist designation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Lift the designation • 25%
Maintain the designation • 25%
Modify the designation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official announcements from the UK government
Story
UK Considers Lifting 2017 Terrorist Designation of Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) After Assad Ouster
Dec 9, 2024, 07:39 AM
The UK government is contemplating the removal of Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from its list of proscribed terrorist organizations. HTS, which has been banned since 2017 due to its association with al-Qaeda, has played a significant role in the Syrian conflict, particularly in the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad. Senior Cabinet minister Pat McFadden indicated that the government would need to reassess HTS's classification, citing a 'splintering' between HTS and al-Qaeda. No formal decision has been made yet regarding the lifting of the ban.
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Similar markets
Delisted • 25%
Remains listed • 25%
Status under review • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
HTS removed from list • 25%
HTS remains on list • 25%
Review postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Designation lifted • 25%
Designation remains • 25%
Designation modified • 25%
Under review • 25%
Designation remains unchanged • 25%
Designation is removed • 25%
Designation is modified • 25%
Other • 25%
Removed from list • 25%
Remain on list • 25%
Reclassified with conditions • 25%
Evaluation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
