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Will the UK implement new policies to reduce Channel crossings in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official UK government announcements and policy documents
Story
UK Migrant Crossings via Channel Up 25% in 2024 to 36,816, Second-Highest Since 2018
Jan 1, 2025, 08:27 AM
In 2024, a total of 36,816 migrants crossed the English Channel to the United Kingdom, marking a 25% increase from 2023, according to provisional government figures. This figure represents the second-highest number of successful crossings since records began in 2018, surpassed only by the record set in 2022. The surge in crossings underscores the ongoing challenge faced by UK authorities in managing irregular migration across the Channel. The year 2024 was also the deadliest on record for drownings in the Channel, intensifying concerns over the safety of such journeys. Despite government efforts to deter crossings and dismantle smuggling operations, the number of migrants attempting the perilous journey in small boats has continued to rise.
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No significant measure • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Joint France-UK initiative • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Dismantling smuggling networks • 25%
Deportation agreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decrease of 10-25% • 25%
Decrease of more than 25% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase • 25%
30,000 to 40,000 • 25%
40,001 to 50,000 • 25%
Less than 30,000 • 25%
More than 50,000 • 25%
Other measures • 25%
New bilateral agreement • 25%
Increased joint patrols • 25%
No significant change • 25%
