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Will the Type 041 Zhou class submarine be salvaged by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Chinese authorities or credible news sources
Story
China's Type 041 Zhou Nuclear Submarine Sank Near Wuhan, Setting Back Military Modernization
Sep 26, 2024, 04:06 PM
China's newest nuclear-powered attack submarine, the Type 041 Zhou class, sank in late May or early June at a shipyard near Wuhan, according to U.S. officials. The incident, which has not been previously disclosed, represents a significant setback for China's military modernization efforts. Chinese authorities scrambled to cover up the event, and it remains unclear whether the submarine was carrying nuclear fuel at the time of the incident. The Pentagon has confirmed the report, but the exact cause of the sinking is not yet known. The submarine sank in a pierside accident and attempts to salvage it from the Yangtze River have been observed.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successfully salvaged and repaired • 25%
Successfully salvaged but decommissioned • 25%
Not successfully salvaged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased secrecy and cover-up • 25%
Public acknowledgment and investigation • 25%
Blaming external factors • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant delays in submarine projects • 25%
Increased focus on other military technologies • 25%
No major impact • 25%
Other impacts • 25%