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Will the Turkish military initiate a formal investigation into the pro-secular oath incident by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Turkish military or government
Story
Erdogan Vows to Purge Military Graduates Over Pro-Secular Oath
Sep 8, 2024, 07:30 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has vowed to purge military graduates who took a pro-secular oath during their graduation ceremony. Erdogan stated that an investigation is underway and promised that those responsible would be removed from the military. He referred to the individuals behind the pro-secular oath as 'impertinent' and assured that they would face consequences.
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Formal apology • 25%
Condemnation of assailants • 25%
No official response • 25%
Defense of actions • 25%
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Army Aviation School • 25%
Turkish Air Force • 25%
Joint Chiefs of Staff • 25%
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Arrests made • 25%
No arrests, investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation closed with no arrests • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
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Identified and apprehended shooter(s) • 25%
Identified but not apprehended shooter(s) • 25%
Shooter(s) not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Drone was on a reconnaissance mission • 25%
Drone was armed and posed a threat • 25%
Drone was mistakenly identified • 25%
Other • 25%