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What will be the next major action taken by Erdogan related to the military by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Further purges • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
No major action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Turkish government or military
Story
Erdogan Vows to Purge Military Graduates Over Pro-Secular Oath
Sep 8, 2024, 07:30 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has vowed to purge military graduates who took a pro-secular oath during their graduation ceremony. Erdogan stated that an investigation is underway and promised that those responsible would be removed from the military. He referred to the individuals behind the pro-secular oath as 'impertinent' and assured that they would face consequences.
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Full success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant success • 25%
Operations ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Action in Israel • 25%
Action in Syria • 25%
Action in Libya • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No reaction • 25%
Support • 25%
Military operation against PKK • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased support to local factions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Arrests • 25%
Expulsions • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
