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Will the Taliban sign a formal diplomatic agreement with China by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements from China or the Taliban, verified by major news outlets
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Taliban Marks Three Years in Power on August 14, Showcases $85 Billion U.S. Equipment
Aug 15, 2024, 08:41 AM
The Taliban marked the third anniversary of their return to power in Afghanistan on August 14, following the withdrawal of U.S. and NATO forces in August 2021. Celebrations were held at the former U.S. military base in Bagram, attended by hundreds, including diplomats from China and Iran. Due to the Taliban following the Persian calendar, the anniversary is marked on August 14. The Taliban's rule has led to significant changes in Afghanistan, notably the erasure of women from public life, as reported by UN Women. The withdrawal, ordered by President Biden and supported by Vice President Kamala Harris, left behind $85 billion in U.S. military equipment, which the Taliban showcased in a military parade. The event has drawn criticism over the lack of accountability for the chaotic withdrawal, which resulted in the deaths of 13 American service members.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Pakistan • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia only • 25%
Russia and China • 25%
Russia, China, and Iran • 25%
Multiple countries including Western nations • 25%