Loading...
Market
Will the number of Rohingya refugees fleeing to Bangladesh exceed 20,000 by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from UNHCR and other international humanitarian organizations
Story
Escalating Conflict in Myanmar's Rakhine State Forces Thousands of Rohingya to Flee to Bangladesh
Sep 4, 2024, 04:36 AM
The conflict between the military and ethnic rebels in Myanmar's southernmost township in Rakhine state has intensified, leading to a significant humanitarian crisis. More than 40,000 civilians have fled to the neighboring Ayeyarwady region. The Arakan Army, an ethnic Rakhine group, is carving out a proto-state on the Myanmar-Bangladesh border and is engaged in heavy fighting with regime forces, severely impacting civilians, including the Rohingya. In recent months, around 8,000 Rohingya Muslims have fled to Bangladesh to escape the violence. The United Nations has called for greater global support to address the immense humanitarian needs of the Rohingya, who have faced generations of discrimination and persecution.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
More than 100,000 • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
Improved significantly • 25%
Slight improvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Humanitarian aid increased • 25%
Ceasefire brokered • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Less than 2 million • 25%
2 to 3 million • 25%
3 to 4 million • 25%
More than 4 million • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%