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Will the Kenyan government issue an official statement on security officials' involvement in the abduction by November 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the Kenyan government or reputable news outlets
Story
Seven Turkish Citizens and British National Abducted in Nairobi by Turkish Intelligence
Oct 19, 2024, 04:16 PM
Seven Turkish citizens under UN protection were abducted in Kileleshwa, Nairobi on Friday by individuals believed to be agents of Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization (MİT), in coordination with Kenyan security officials. The abduction is attributed to their links to the Gülen movement. A British national was also reported among the abducted. Families of the abducted Turkish refugees, including a family of four, are searching for their loved ones. The refugees were abducted at gunpoint. The incident has raised concerns about Kenya’s safety for refugees and the involvement of Turkish intelligence in the country. Pressure is mounting on Kenya for the release of the abducted individuals.
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Deny involvement • 50%
Acknowledge involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Perpetrators identified and prosecuted • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not prosecuted • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No official outcome released • 25%
Kenyan officials implicated • 25%
Turkish officials implicated • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Joint operation confirmed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Kenyan Government • 25%
Turkish Government • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation of Ugandan actions • 25%
Call for diplomatic talks • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%