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Will the Gaza ceasefire result in a significant humanitarian aid package by February 28, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes, from the U.S. • 25%
Yes, from the UN • 25%
Yes, from other countries • 25%
No significant aid package • 25%
Official announcements from aid organizations or credible news reports
Story
Blinken Confident Gaza Ceasefire Will Begin Sunday Despite Netanyahu's Delay
Jan 16, 2025, 04:20 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has announced that the implementation of a ceasefire agreement in Gaza is expected to begin on Sunday, following 15 months of conflict between Hamas and Israel. Blinken expressed confidence in the deal, which he described as a testament to the strength of American diplomacy. Despite Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's delay in a Cabinet vote on the agreement, Blinken remains optimistic that the ceasefire will commence as planned. The agreement aims to end the ongoing conflict and provide relief to the region after a prolonged period of suffering.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Aid partially delivered • 25%
Aid delivery disrupted • 25%
No significant aid delivered • 25%
Aid successfully delivered • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
