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Will humanitarian aid to Gaza increase before January 20, 2025?
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Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•White House•Biden•National Security•Jake Sullivan•Donald Trump•Sullivan•Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international aid organizations or government announcements
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Biden Urges Immediate Ceasefire in Gaza, Hostage Deal Before Jan. 20
Jan 12, 2025, 05:12 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed negotiations for a hostage release and ceasefire deal in Gaza during a phone call on Sunday. The conversation, confirmed by a White House official, highlighted the immediate need for a ceasefire in Gaza and the return of hostages, with Biden stressing the importance of enabling a surge in humanitarian aid through a stoppage in the fighting. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan indicated that the U.S. is very close to reaching an agreement before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20. Sullivan also mentioned that Biden would soon speak with Netanyahu to further discuss these negotiations.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant aid delivered • 25%
Aid delivery disrupted • 25%
Aid partially delivered • 25%
Aid successfully delivered • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
Cease of operations • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No change in operations • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased aid • 25%
Decreased aid • 25%
Conditional aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Significant increase in aid • 25%
Moderate increase in aid • 25%
No change in aid • 25%
Aid redirected • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change in aid • 25%
