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Will the FBI conclude the investigation into the assassination attempt on Donald Trump by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FBI official statement or press release
Story
FBI Investigates Assassination Attempt on Trump at Butler, Pennsylvania Rally
Jul 26, 2024, 08:10 AM
The FBI is investigating an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump that occurred during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Bullet and metal fragments were found at the rally site, and investigators are trying to determine whether a bullet or shrapnel hit Trump, causing a wound to his ear. The FBI has requested to interview Trump to obtain a victim statement as part of the investigation. Trump has dismissed conspiracy theories about his wound, stating he 'took a bullet for democracy.' The New York Times reported on the investigation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Suspect charged • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No additional suspects • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone shooter • 25%
Multiple shooters • 25%
Accomplices but only one shooter • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Lone actor with no accomplices • 25%
Lone actor with remote support • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Bullet • 25%
Shrapnel • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Thomas Crooks acted alone • 25%
Thomas Crooks was part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Insufficient evidence to determine • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Domestic terrorist group • 25%
Foreign entity involvement • 25%
Unknown/undetermined • 25%
