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Will the FBI conclude its investigation into the second assassination attempt on Donald Trump by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official FBI statement or press release
Story
Former President Trump Safe After Second Assassination Attempt
Sep 15, 2024, 11:44 PM
Former President Donald Trump is safe following an apparent second assassination attempt. Gunshots were fired near his property, and law enforcement quickly apprehended a suspect. An investigation is underway. Numerous political figures, including Rep. Pat Ryan, Sen. John Hoeven, and Mitt Romney, have expressed relief that Trump was unharmed and commended the swift action of the Secret Service and law enforcement. The incident has sparked widespread condemnation of political violence and calls for increased security measures for all political candidates.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Suspect charged • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No additional suspects • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conviction of Thomas Crooks • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Assassination attempt confirmed • 25%
Domestic terrorism confirmed • 25%
Both confirmed • 25%
Neither confirmed • 25%
Thomas Crooks acted alone • 25%
Thomas Crooks was part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Insufficient evidence to determine • 25%
Other • 25%