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Market
Will the FBI announce a major policy change by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official FBI announcements and policy documents
Story
FBI Director Wray Resigns Early as Trump Nominates Kash Patel
Dec 12, 2024, 06:43 AM
FBI Director Christopher Wray has announced his resignation, effective at the end of President Joe Biden's term in January 2025. Wray, who was appointed by Donald Trump in 2017, is stepping down amidst significant political scrutiny and pressure. His decision comes as President-elect Trump has nominated Kash Patel, a loyalist, to replace him as FBI Director. Trump, who has been critical of Wray for years, celebrated the resignation, calling it "a great day for America" and accusing Wray of mishandling investigations, including the FBI's search of his Mar-a-Lago residence in 2022. Trump also referred to the FBI under Wray as the "Department of Injustice." Wray, in his statement to FBI staff, emphasized that his resignation was the best way to avoid further politicization of the bureau. The move marks the end of Wray's seven-year tenure, three years short of the typical ten-year term for FBI directors.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Reorganization of FBI divisions • 25%
New cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other policy • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor procedural changes • 25%
Major policy overhaul • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Focus on internal reforms • 25%
Focus on external threats • 25%
Focus on technology and cybercrime • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Closure of Washington HQ • 25%
Major restructuring • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Kash Patel Appointed • 25%
Christopher Wray Retained • 25%
New Nominee Announced • 25%
No Change Announced • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
Political Corruption • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Drug Trafficking • 25%
