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Will the far-right faction in Israel's ruling coalition veto military engagement cessation by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements from the Israeli government
Story
US and Israel Reach Understanding on Iran's Oil and Nuclear Sites, Offering Compensation Package to Netanyahu Before Elections
Oct 22, 2024, 03:21 PM
Recent reports indicate that the United States and Israel have reached a quiet understanding regarding Iran. Security sources from both nations revealed that this agreement involves the U.S. promising to reward Israel for refraining from attacking Iran's oil and nuclear infrastructure. This arrangement aims to mitigate the risk of an all-out war prior to the upcoming elections. High-level sources have confirmed that the U.S. has agreed to a new compensation package for Israel, which includes defense incentives for Prime Minister Netanyahu. However, there are ongoing calls within Israel to end military engagements, which have reportedly been vetoed by the far-right faction of the ruling coalition.
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Support ceasefire • 25%
Oppose ceasefire • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other • 25%
Netanyahu remains PM • 33%
New PM before action • 33%
No action taken • 34%
Coalition remains intact • 25%
Minor reshuffling • 25%
Major reshuffling • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Leadership change in Israeli government • 25%
Policy reversal without leadership change • 25%
Continuation of current leadership and policy • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
