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Will the EU agree to increase U.S. oil and gas purchases by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from EU trade representatives or U.S. trade department reports
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President-elect Trump Warns EU: Buy U.S. Oil and Gas or Face Tariffs
Dec 20, 2024, 07:07 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has warned the European Union that it must reduce its "tremendous deficit" with the United States by making large-scale purchases of American oil and gas or face tariffs. In a post on Truth Social at 1:09 AM EST on December 20, Trump stated, "I told the European Union that they must make up their tremendous deficit with the United States by the large scale purchase of our oil and gas. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!" The United States is the world's top exporter of liquefied natural gas and the largest oil producer. This ultimatum highlights potential trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU over energy imports.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
