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Market
Will the Conservative Party’s poll numbers increase by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in poll numbers • 50%
No significant change • 50%
Polling data from reputable agencies like YouGov, Ipsos MORI
Story
Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives Announce £1,500 Tax Cut for 700,000 Families
Jun 6, 2024, 09:55 PM
Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party has announced a new plan to raise the threshold at which parents lose access to child-care benefits. The proposal aims to provide a £1,500 tax cut for parents, benefiting 700,000 families on average. Families paying the Child Benefit Tax Charge will be particularly impacted. The initiative is part of a broader strategy to close the gap in the polls with Labour. The £1.3 billion funding required for this plan will be sourced by clamping down on tax avoidance and tax evasion.
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Labour's poll numbers increase • 50%
Labour's poll numbers decrease • 50%
No significant change • 33%
Party loses more than 5 points • 33%
Party gains more than 5 points • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Remain within 5% range • 34%
Reform UK • 33%
Conservatives • 33%
Labour • 33%