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Will the congressional investigation find evidence of a politically motivated plot in the attempted assassination of former President Trump by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official congressional reports or public statements from Speaker Mike Johnson
Story
Speaker Mike Johnson Announces Congressional Investigation into Attempted Assassination of Former President Trump
Jul 14, 2024, 12:12 PM
Speaker of the House Mike Johnson has announced that Congress will investigate the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at a recent rally. Johnson described the incident as a 'horrific act of political violence' and emphasized that such violence must be 'roundly condemned.' He called for leaders of both parties to turn down violent rhetoric, stating, 'We can't go on like this as a society.' He noted that 'America awakens to a rather surreal morning.' GOP lawmakers have pledged their support for the investigation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lone actor • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign entity • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Security lapses identified • 25%
Internal misconduct identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Security failures identified • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Reforms recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect apprehended • 25%
Suspect not apprehended • 25%
Suspect identified but not apprehended • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Perpetrator identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrator identified but not arrested • 25%
Perpetrator not identified • 25%
Shooter identified and motive determined • 25%
Shooter identified but motive not determined • 25%
Shooter not identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Perpetrator Identified and Arrested • 25%
Perpetrator Identified but Not Arrested • 25%
Perpetrator Not Identified • 25%
Investigation Ongoing • 25%
One shooter, no conspiracy • 25%
Two shooters, conspiracy • 25%
One shooter, conspiracy • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
No criminal charges recommended • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Routh acted alone • 25%
Routh had accomplices • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Charges filed against additional suspects • 25%
Ryan Routh is the only suspect • 25%
Investigation finds no additional evidence • 25%
Investigation results not disclosed • 25%
Lone gunman • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Insufficient evidence to conclude • 25%
Other • 25%