Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the bipartisan commission's investigation on the Trump assassination attempt by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
No criminal charges recommended • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Official release from the bipartisan commission
Story
House to Vote on Bipartisan Commission for Trump Assassination Attempt Investigation
Jul 22, 2024, 01:03 PM
House Republican leadership is adding a vote this week to create a commission to investigate the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. The House of Representatives will consider legislation to form a bipartisan commission to study the incident. The resolution, posted last night by Speaker Johnson, proposes an 11-member task force comprising 5 Democrats and 6 Republicans. The task force will be considered under suspension, requiring a two-thirds majority for approval.
View original story
Similar markets
One shooter, no conspiracy • 25%
Two shooters, conspiracy • 25%
One shooter, conspiracy • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Evidence of lone actor • 25%
Evidence of politically motivated plot • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Charges filed against additional suspects • 25%
Ryan Routh is the only suspect • 25%
Investigation finds no additional evidence • 25%
Investigation results not disclosed • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Security lapses identified • 25%
No security lapses identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No public report issued • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Security lapses identified • 25%
Internal misconduct identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect apprehended • 25%
Suspect not apprehended • 25%
Suspect identified but not apprehended • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Perpetrator identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrator identified but not arrested • 25%
Perpetrator not identified • 25%
Shooter identified and motive determined • 25%
Shooter identified but motive not determined • 25%
Shooter not identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Perpetrator Identified and Arrested • 25%
Perpetrator Identified but Not Arrested • 25%
Perpetrator Not Identified • 25%
Investigation Ongoing • 25%
Major overhaul of protocols • 25%
Minor procedural changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone gunman • 25%
Part of a larger conspiracy • 25%
Insufficient evidence to conclude • 25%
Other • 25%
Routh acted alone • 25%
Routh had accomplices • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
Foreign Interference • 25%
Lone Wolf Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect(s) arrested • 25%
Suspect(s) identified but not arrested • 25%
No suspect(s) identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Biden Administration involvement • 25%
Foreign entity involvement • 25%
Domestic entity involvement • 25%
Lone wolf • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Organized group • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Unknown/Unresolved • 25%