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Will the Blue Ring Pathfinder payload successfully complete its mission objectives?
3
Blue Origin•Jeff Bezos•New Glenn rocket•Launch Complex 36•Florida•Blue Ring Pathfinder•SpaceX•Jacklyn•Atlantic Ocean
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public announcements from Blue Origin and mission reports.
Story
Blue Origin's New Glenn Rocket Set for First Launch from Cape Canaveral on January 10, 2025
Jan 6, 2025, 08:39 PM
Blue Origin, founded by Jeff Bezos, is set to launch its New Glenn rocket for the first time on January 10, 2025, from Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The launch window opens at 1 a.m. EST. The mission, named NG-1, will carry the Blue Ring Pathfinder payload, aimed at testing key systems for future missions. This launch marks a significant step for Blue Origin as it seeks to compete with SpaceX in the commercial space race. The New Glenn rocket, standing at 98 meters tall, will attempt to land its first stage on a sea-based platform named Jacklyn in the Atlantic Ocean, a challenging endeavor for a debut flight.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Failure • 25%
Complete Success • 25%
Mission Aborted • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No experiments successful • 25%
All experiments successful • 25%
Some experiments successful • 25%
Few experiments successful • 25%
Successful launch and mission • 25%
Mission cancelled • 25%
Mission failure • 25%
Launch delayed • 25%