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Will the Biden administration process at least 500,000 citizenship applications by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
USCIS official reports and statistics
Story
Biden Administration Speeds Up Citizenship Processing, Reduces Trump-era Backlog Before Election
Aug 13, 2024, 02:00 PM
The federal government is processing citizenship requests at the fastest rate in a decade, significantly reducing a backlog that accumulated during the Trump administration and the coronavirus pandemic. This acceleration in naturalization is allowing thousands of immigrants to become U.S. citizens in time to participate in the upcoming presidential election. The New York Times reports that this effort is part of a broader strategy to reshape the electorate ahead of a pivotal election. New citizens express enthusiasm about voting in November, highlighting the political implications of increased naturalization rates. The Biden administration's expedited processing is seen as beneficial to Democrats, as mass legal immigration is perceived to politically favor them.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 100,000 • 33%
100,000 to 200,000 • 34%
More than 200,000 • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 5 new actions • 33%
5-10 new actions • 33%
More than 10 new actions • 33%
Enhanced border security • 25%
Pathway to citizenship • 25%
Increased deportations • 25%
Other immigration reforms • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 75% • 25%
75.1% to 90% • 25%
More than 90% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
