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Market
Will SPD form a coalition government after the February 23, 2025 election?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from SPD or German government regarding coalition formation
Story
Germany's SPD Backs Scholz as Chancellor Candidate for February 23 Snap Election Despite Low Polls
Nov 25, 2024, 12:43 PM
The German Social Democratic Party (SPD) has officially and unanimously nominated incumbent Chancellor Olaf Scholz as their candidate for the upcoming snap federal elections on February 23, 2025. Despite internal wrangling and low poll numbers, with the SPD trailing behind the conservatives and the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), the party leadership is backing Scholz in hopes that he can replicate his 2021 comeback victory. The official confirmation of his candidacy will take place during a party conference on January 11, 2025. The nomination follows the recent collapse of his coalition government. Scholz faces a tough re-election campaign amid declining popularity.
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