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Will South Korea report another KADIZ incursion by Chinese or Russian aircraft by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from South Korea's Ministry of National Defense or major news agencies
Story
South Korea Scrambles Jets as 11 Chinese, Russian Aircraft, Including 2 H-6 Bombers, Enter Air Defense Zone on November 29
Nov 29, 2024, 06:14 AM
On November 29, 2024, South Korea responded to a significant air defense violation when 11 Chinese and Russian military aircraft, including two H-6 bombers, entered its air defense zone, known as KADIZ. In reaction, South Korean forces scrambled fighter jets to intercept the intruders. Although the aircraft did not breach South Korean airspace, their presence raised concerns about repeated incursions. Meanwhile, Chinese and Russian military forces conducted a joint patrol over the Sea of Japan, signaling a potential strategic collaboration between the two nations. The situation has prompted South Korea to enhance its defensive maneuvers against perceived threats from both China and Russia.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased air patrols • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Apology from China/Russia • 25%
No response • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Japan • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Philippines • 25%
Other • 25%
