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Will South Africa maintain no planned power outages for the next 60 days?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Eskom official reports and press releases
Story
Eskom Leads South Africa to 150 Days Without Power Outages, Boosting Rand
Aug 26, 2024, 01:30 PM
South Africa has achieved a significant milestone by going 150 consecutive days without planned power outages, according to Eskom. This accomplishment is attributed to the implementation of a recovery plan, which has improved the reliability of power stations and brought new capacity online. Eskom's operational turnaround has coincided with a rise in the fortunes of the South African Rand. The state power utility is optimistic about maintaining this streak, potentially avoiding electricity shortages over the next few months if unplanned losses remain low. South Africa has had a break from power outages since March. President Cyril Ramaphosa emphasized the need for major investment to ensure grid control and safety, highlighting the government's plan to establish a body to oversee raising R319 billion for repairing and upgrading municipal power grids. He made these remarks at the Municipal Just Energy Transition Conference.
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Up to 180 days • 25%
181 to 240 days • 25%
241 to 300 days • 25%
More than 300 days • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsening situation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful with no planned outages • 25%
Successful with minor planned outages • 25%
Partially successful with frequent planned outages • 25%
Unsuccessful with major planned outages • 25%
Increased support for nuclear energy • 25%
Maintained current policy • 25%
Decreased support for nuclear energy • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%